Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps | ChEESE - Centre of Excellence for Exascale Supercomputing in the area of the Solid Earth

Type of publication

Article in journal

Year of publication

2021

Publisher

Frontiers in Earth Science

Link to the publication

https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2021.628772/full

Link to the repository

https://hal.uca.fr/hal-03227520/document

Authors

Jörn Behrens, Finn Løvholt, Fatemeh Jalayer, Stefano Lorito, Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez, Mathilde Sørensen, Stephane Abadie, Ignacio Aguirre-Ayerbe, Iñigo Aniel-Quiroga, Andrey Babeyko, Marco Baiguera, Roberto Basili, Stefano Belliazzi, Anita Grezio, Kendra Johnson, Shane Murphy, Raphaël Paris, Irina Rafliana, Raffaele De Risi, Tiziana Rossetto, Jacopo Selva, Matteo Taroni, Marta Del Zoppo, Alberto Armigliato, Vladimír Bureš, Pavel Cech, Claudia Cecioni, Paul Christodoulides, Gareth Davies, Frédéric Dias, Hafize Başak Bayraktar, Mauricio González, Maria Gritsevich, Serge Guillas, Carl Bonnevie Harbitz, Utku Kânoǧlu, Jorge Macías, Gerassimos A. Papadopoulos, Jascha Polet, Fabrizio Romano, Amos Salamon, Antonio Scala, Mislav Stepinac, David R. Tappin, Hong Kie Thio, Roberto Tonini, Ioanna Triantafyllou, Thomas Ulrich, Elisa Varini, Manuela Volpe and Eduardo Vyhmeister

Citation

Behrens Jörn, Løvholt Finn, Jalayer Fatemeh, Lorito Stefano, Salgado-Gálvez Mario A., Sørensen Mathilde, Abadie Stephane, Aguirre-Ayerbe Ignacio, Aniel-Quiroga Iñigo, Babeyko Andrey, Baiguera Marco, Basili Roberto, Belliazzi Stefano, Grezio Anita, Johnson Kendra, Murphy Shane, Paris Raphaël, Rafliana Irina, De Risi Raffaele, Rossetto Tiziana, Selva Jacopo, Taroni Matteo, Del Zoppo Marta, Armigliato Alberto, Bureš Vladimír, Cech Pavel, Cecioni Claudia, Christodoulides Paul, Davies Gareth, Dias Frédéric, Bayraktar Hafize Başak, González Mauricio, Gritsevich Maria, Guillas Serge, Harbitz Carl Bonnevie, Kânoǧlu Utku, Macías Jorge, Papadopoulos Gerassimos A., Polet Jascha, Romano Fabrizio, Salamon Amos, Scala Antonio, Stepinac Mislav, Tappin David R., Thio Hong Kie, Tonini Roberto, Triantafyllou Ioanna, Ulrich Thomas, Varini Elisa, Volpe Manuela, Vyhmeister Eduardo. Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps. Frontiers in Earth Science. Volume 9. Page 114. DOI 10.3389/feart.2021.628772

Short summary

Tsunamis are unpredictable and infrequent but potentially large impact natural disasters. To prepare, mitigate and prevent losses from tsunamis, probabilistic hazard and risk analysis methods have been developed and have proved useful. However, large gaps and uncertainties still exist and many steps in the assessment methods lack information, theoretical foundation, or commonly accepted methods. Moreover, applied methods have very different levels of maturity, from already advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for earthquake sources, to less mature probabilistic risk analysis. In this review we give an overview of the current state of probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis. Identifying research gaps, we offer suggestions for future research directions. An extensive literature list allows for branching into diverse aspects of this scientific approach.